Fallen angel [OC]

“Get out and vote” goes both ways

Dr. Phlox’s box of cocks

downtown Toronto, Canada

Macau

Standing Up, Falling Down

Standing Up, Falling Down: Directed by Matt Ratner. With Billy Crystal, Ben Schwartz, Grace Gummer, Eloise Mumford. The unlikely friendship that kindles between a struggling stand-up comedian from L.A., forced to move back home with his tail between his legs, and a tragically flawed, but charming and charismatic, alcoholic dermatologist.

I watched this based on the two main guys alone, Ben Schwartz is still on his well owned upward trajectory and pretty much everything Billy Crystal does is damn entertaining. You’ll not be surprised to learn that this is a fantastically tragic comedy about getting to a certain point in your life and realizing it’s not where you wanted to be, then having to come to terms with either changing or staying the same. There’s a lot to warn about if you’ve struggled with most of the things that adults have to deal with, and I see a lot of myself in Crystal’s character, though I never ascended to the height of a local dermatologist that drinks too much.

Buy On Amazon!

Via

Biblical, you say?

Shantel Vansanten

PHOTOGRAPH

Grain Valley, MO

MOVIE

A scene from the reproductive rights marches that happened this weekend. (Lafayette, Louisiana)

Blatant Thievery by Victor Adame Minguez

Thick Bikini Bod

Some Daredevil artwork I did recently, really hoping to see more of him soon.

[OC] She stood outside of the Supreme Court with something to say. We need to listen.

I’m a Nightmare Before Coffee

desi spiderman official song – SPIDERMAN SPOOF

Alabama cites Roe decision in urging court to let state ban trans health care

Since abortion isn’t protected under the Constitution, neither should access to gender-affirming care, Alabama argues.

CAMPER

Dream state.

Beautifull Red Bird

Newton University Military Tractor

Calgary, Canada

SEXY

The World According to Garp

The World According to Garp: Directed by George Roy Hill. With Robin Williams, Mary Beth Hurt, Glenn Close, John Lithgow. A struggling young writer finds his life and work dominated by his unfaithful wife and his radical feminist mother, whose best-selling manifesto turns her into a cultural icon.

Robin’s second movie, and it’s not funny. It doesn’t seek out humor, don’t need jokes, and it’s a great look at a few different types of feminism, but man, how did Robin Williams go from “Popeye” to “Garp” then “The Survivors”? Seeing that it’s based on a book make sense, as this story feels condensed down from a much larger piece of work, and I can only imagine what was cut, as there’s a ton of stuff in the movie.

Best part is seeing John Lithgow as a woman, played without any kind of wink or nod, just “hey here’s a guy that used to play football and is now a woman”, nearly not explained at all and never with a tongue in it’s cheek. It’s a good movie, but covers some heavy subjects and ends in a way that I wasn’t expecting.

Buy On Amazon!

Via

Marion Cotillard

One more photo of my Rey cosplay. Hope you will like it too!

KISS

Three Dead, At Least 50 People Injured After Amtrak Train Derails in Missouri

“It all happened like slow motion,” one rider told CNN about the crash

NOT Drunk…

Morrigan helmet

Roller skating carhop in the 1950s

PONTIAC

The Supreme Court Has Destroyed Its Legitimacy and There Is No Reason to Respect It

 

When an unelected conservative majority simply imposes the right’s policy preferences by fiat, there is little reason for the rest of us to respect the Court’s authority.

 

THE RUNAWAYS

A ROBLOX-based monster design

X-Files

Baddie

Fears of violence against pro-choice protests intensify amid wave of attacks

Use of teargas and arrests by police and targeting by anti-abortion activists disrupts demonstrations in multiple states

Scoped out knife

Is Winning In A Casino All About Luck?

The age-old debate over whether gambling success should be ascribed to skill or chance continues today. A combination of both is the short answer to this question. Many casino games require a combination of skill and luck to win. In blackjack and video poker, players can utilize strategy to increase their chances of winning and getting the best casino bonus throughout the game. You can improve your possibility of success at an online casino if you understand that luck and tactics play a factor in the outcome of a game. Chance determines how much talent is required to play. Take, for example, the best slots for real money in slot machines.

Casino, gambling and entertainment concept – roulette table and stack of poker chips

Slot machines are grouped as games of luck because they do not require any talent to play. There is no way to foresee the game’s outcome because you do not influence how the reels spin. Covered below is:

• Poker is a skill-based game.
• Consistent winner, consistent talent (blind – bet).
• Is soccer a game of luck?
• The gambler’s fallacy.
• Is it possible to prevail over the luck factor?
• Is it probable to avoid luck?

Poker as a Skill-Based Game

Let’s start with poker because it is, more than any other game, the one that is most hotly contested in terms of skill vs. gambling factors. The ongoing effort in the United States and worldwide to acknowledge poker as a skill game is critical to breaking free from the restrictions of the casino and its harsh gambling rules. As poker becomes more popular worldwide, more skilled players emerge who are generating a high income from the game. In reality, some judges in countries such as Russia are starting to view poker as a skill game. In essence, a difference must be drawn between poker abilities and pure gambling in casino games such as roulette. While the truism says that poker is 30 percent dexterity and 70 percent fortune for frivolous companies, it is the opposite for mavens.

Poker is so prevalent these days, and so many companies deem they are accepting their skills to the game that they often lose sight of the authenticity that the game necessitates any luck at all. Reflect on the sum of ‘poor beat’ tales that thrive in online forums, and then deliberate how many gamers have paused to contemplate what type of game they’re taking part in. Few individuals will blame their poor performance because they’re participating in a game that is basically a game of chance.

Consistent Winner, Consistent Talent

Steven D. Levitt and Thomas J. Miles investigated a group of highly competent poker players during the 2010 World Series of Poker. The average return on investment (ROI) for that group of participants was above 30%, compared to a -15 percent for all other players in the competition. Why do the top players in the world consistently reach final tables at major events if poker is a game of pure luck, as many jurisdictions throughout the globe believe?

While calculating odds does play a role in poker, as we saw in our first example – after all, a big portion of the game is based on the turn of a card – there are so many other aspects to the game that it can never truly be considered a game of chance. While there must be a loss for every winner in poker, using poker talent helps top players overcome the luck aspect, allowing them to soar above a sea of players who are either losing a lot, a little or breaking even.

Is Soccer a Game of Luck?

According to Tom Tango, author of ‘The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball,’ luck plays a more prominent role in sports results than you might think if you only consider games where a team wins or loses. When Tango’s equations are applied to soccer during a normal 10-month season, differences in results attributable to luck account for roughly 35% of the overall variance (luck), leaving around 65% to ability. 

This is excellent news for talented players because talent has almost double the impact on a team’s victory rate as chance does. However, this still indicates that around a third of a team’s victory rate is based solely on luck. Why isn’t soccer treated like poker as a game of chance if that’s the case? There are better chances of winning the game when played at some of the best slots for real money worldwide.

The Gambler’s Fallacy 

It is also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy, which is the improper impression that if something transpires more times than usual during a precise period, it will occur less often in the future, seemingly as a way of nature equalizing itself. This can happen in the form of sceneries, although it is most frequently connected with gaming, where such faults are prevalent. 

The issue is that it is entirely improper. The most famous occurrence was in a game of roulette at a Monte Carlo casino in 1913, when the ball plummeted in black 26 times in a row (thus the name). Wagerers lost millions of dollars gaming against black, trusting that a long arrangement of red was unsettled.

Is It Possible to Prevail Over the Luck Factor?

Even in a game with a strong skill feature, such as poker, All companies will go penniless at some point — the luck may not be on the gamers’ side, even if they’re making rock-hard gaming choices. So, how can participants overcome the factor of chance? The modest option is to avoid them totally when it comes to casino games that depend so profoundly on luck. Okay, that’s a touch basic, but modest budget control is the key to long-standing victory in any match with odds. Game with a certain quantity of your finance, save your salaries while you’re ahead, and make only lucid choices.

Chance, or luck, is a fragment of all we do. Getting hit by a van, earning a raffle prize, or being struck by lightning are all games of chance, and how you play your luck is just as vital as how you play your cards. Stick to games with beneficial house advantages, such as poker, study, attempt plans, do your research and make the changes work to your benefit. It’s either that or stop gaming entirely.

HOOD ORNAMENT

Heather Locklear and Heather Thomas at the Battle of the Network Stars, 1984

50 migrants die in trailer abandoned in San Antonio heat

SAN ANTONIO (AP) — Fifty people have died after being abandoned in a tractor-trailer in the sweltering Texas heat, one of the worst tragedies to claim the lives of migrants smuggled across the border from Mexico to the U.S.

Lara Croft by Alyson Tabbitha

AIRLINE

Sexy Blonde In White Bikini

The Core 1

GOP House Candidate Doubts Likelihood of Pregnancy After Rape

Yesli Vega, a Republican nominee for Congress in Virginia, said last month that said women’s bodies might shut down after sexual assault, decreasing the likelihood of pregnancy